The invention discloses a support vector machine (SVM) based prediction method for the degradation tendency of super-capacitor capacitance value. The prediction method utilizes the regression function of the support vector machine to predict the degradation tendency of the super capacitor capacitance value and comprises: 1) pre-processing the input value and the output value; 2) carrying out trainings to the training set data for a regression estimation function; 3) using the particle swarm optimization algorithm to automatically optimize the relevant parameters of the support vector machine; 4) according to the optimization result, configuring the corresponding parameter values of the support vector machine; substituting the training set data into a correlation vector machine model to obtain a regression prediction model for the degradation tendency of the capacitance value; and 5) substituting the training set data into the regression prediction model to obtain the degradation tendency of the capacitance value. According to the invention, it is possible to conduct online prediction to the degradation tendency of the capacitance value. Through the introduction of a particle swarm optimization algorithm to modify the parameter optimization method, the prediction efficiency and accuracy of the algorithm are increased so that it can be applied in a larger scope.