A method and system are disclosed for learning a demand model and simulation parameters from validation information. Validation information is received from automatic fare collection systems and trips are reconstructed from the validation information. Origins, destinations, and arrival/departure times are estimated from the reconstructed trips. A demand model is then generated from the origins, destinations, and times. Assignment model parameters are then learned from the received validation information and demand model via iterative simulations. Infrastructure changes are made to a simulated transportation network based on the assignment and demand model using the learned parameters. A simulated response of the transportation network to the infrastructure change is then output.