An apparatus, method, system, and program product are disclosed for data replication. One method includes determining a predicted match ratio. The predicted match ratio may predict a percentage of a current version of a file that matches a prior version of the file. The method may include performing a delta transfer if the predicted match ratio is greater than a predetermined threshold. The delta transfer may transfer a portion of the current version of the file that has changed relative to the prior version of the file. The method may include performing a transfer of the current version of the file if the predicted match ratio is less than the predetermined threshold.