Adaptive doze to hibernate scheme techniques are described for power management of a computing device. Rather than relying upon a fixed timer to control device power states, the adaptive doze to hibernate scheme monitors various hibernate parameters and adapts the hibernation experience in dependence upon the parameters. The hibernate parameters may include but are not limited to a standby budget, minimum standby time, reserve screen on time, and indications of user presence. In operation, a power manager monitors battery drain rate and adaptively determines when to change the device power states of the computing device based on the observed drain rate and the hibernate parameters. The power manager may selectively switch between various states (e.g., high performance, active, wake, standby, hibernate, off, etc.) accordingly.