The present invention may be a method, computer program product, and system for predicting future safety incidents. The embodiments may receive a first set of incident data about a first safety incident. The first set of data may include a first set of factors and a first severity. The embodiments may create a safety incident model based on the first set of data by correlating the first set of factors with the first severity. The embodiments may receive a second set of incident data, where the second set of data may include a second set of factors. The embodiments may determine a predicted severity of the second set of incident data based on the safety incident model and the second set of factors. The embodiments may display one or more factors from one of the first and second set of factors, having the highest predicted incident severity.