Implementations of the present disclosure include methods, systems, and computer-readable storage mediums for receiving a memory access latency value including a time to perform an operation with respect to the memory bank of the plurality of memory banks, receiving a set of operation percentages including an operation percentage for each of a plurality of operations performed on the memory bank, determining a probability associated with the memory access latency value using a mixture of Weibull distributions, described herein, comparing the probability to a threshold probability to provide a comparison, and selectively executing at least one action with respect to the memory bank based on the comparison.