Embodiments are directed towards embodiments for monitoring or predicting user health with respect their use of connected computers, such as, mobile phones, tablets, or the like. Activities associated with a user and a computing device may be monitored to determine activity events. One or more sub-scores may be provided in real time based on metrics provided as input to sub-score models such that the metrics are associated with the activity events. A health score associated with a probability of an occurrence of adverse user outcomes may be provided based on a health model that uses the sub-scores. An analysis engine may compare the health score to other health scores to predict in real time the adverse outcomes. The analysis engine may recommend one or more actions to decrease the probability of the occurrence of the adverse outcomes based on the result.