Methods and systems are provided herewith for creating and managing wagers on possible states within a live event, such as possible outcomes of subparts of a sporting event or other possible occurrences within the event. An initial state and multiple possible future states of a performance parameter of the event are determined based on state information of the event. A betting market may be created by determining probabilities and odds for the possible future states. Bets may be made on the possible future states via a touch-sensitive display. A payout may be made to a winner who selects a possible future state that actually occurs.