An approach is provided for automatically predicting an event occurrence based on a question from an end user presented using a near-real-time natural language processing (NLP) analysis to generate, score and rank a plurality of event occurrences based on a plurality of question context parameters extracted from the question, one or more user profile parameters for the end user, and the one or more historical questions, answers, and events having a specified spatial and/or temporal proximity to the question which are identified by an information handling system. In the approach, performed by an information handling system, a top ranked event occurrence from the ranked plurality of event occurrences is selected for inclusion in a notification message that is communicated or broadcast to the end user, as well as other users engaged with the information handling system and/or first responders in the affected area.