This application discloses a computing system configured to identify a channel in an electronic device is configured to transmit signals encoding data with more than two value levels in response to a correlated test input. The computing system can determine probabilities of value level changes in the transmitted signals based on an encoding for the correlated test input, and measure a step response of the channel. The computing system can perform statistical simulation or analysis on the channel based, at least in part, on the step response of the channel and the determined probabilities of value level changes in the transmitted signals, which can predict a signal integrity of the channel configured to transmit the signals based, at least in part, on the determined probabilities of value level changes in the transmitted signals.