An embodiment of a method for evaluating a schedule for removing a core sample includes generating a model of the core by applying a value of each of the input parameters, one or more of the input parameter values associated with an uncertainty range, and defining a proposed tripping schedule, and performing an evaluation including applying the proposed tripping schedule and a set of expected input parameter values to the model, estimating a core parameter and determining whether the tripping schedule is predicted to be successful by comparing the core parameter to selected core damage criteria. The method also includes iteratively repeating the evaluation, each evaluation being performed using a different combination of input parameter values than any other evaluation, and calculating a probability of success (POS) of the proposed tripping schedule based on a number of evaluations that result in the tripping schedule being predicted to be successful.