A method includes receiving a plurality of items, grouping the plurality of items into a plurality of clusters, where each of the plurality of clusters comprises items having similar features to one another, applying a classification model to each cluster to predict whether each item of a cluster will be delivered on time or delivered late, applying a regression model that determines an expected measure of tardiness of each item predicted to be delivered late, and outputting a delivery date prediction for each item predicted to be delivered late based on the expected measure of tardiness of the item.