Predicting probable activity consequences is provided. Information is collected from data sources to identify various activities. Patterns of how any identified activity is linked with a corresponding event are detected based on analyzing the information. The patterns are indexed with data having a relationship to a particular event. Activity context information associated with a set of identified activities corresponding to the particular event is extracted from the information. A cognitive model of how the set of identified activities corresponding to the particular event are related to a set of activity consequences is generated. Probable activity consequences with degree of severity corresponding to the activity context information is predicted based on the cognitive model. A recommendation to perform a set of action steps to reduce impact of the probable activity consequences on different aspects of the activity context information associated with the set of identified activities is generated.