Methods and systems disclosed herein related to analyzing the risk of an identity-based transaction and offering the identity-based transaction to a risk exchange. An identity-based transaction may be a transaction that is initiated with a digital identity, and an assertions model manager may provide assertions about the digital identity for completing the identity-based transaction. The assertions model manager may use the assertions and information about the identity-based transaction to analyze transaction risk. A risk score for the identity-based transaction can be calculated, and then the identity-based transaction may be offered on a risk exchange.