Systems and methods directed to generating a predicted quality metric are provided. Telemetry data may be received from a from a first group of devices executing first software. A quality metric for the first software may be generated based on the first telemetry data. Telemetry data from a second group of devices may be received, where the second group of devices is different from the first group of devices. Covariates impacting the quality metric based on features included in the first telemetry data and the second telemetry data may be identified, and a coarsened exact matching process may be performed utilizing the identified covariates to generate a predicted quality metric for the first software based on the second group of devices.