A product obsolescence forecast system includes machine instructions stored in a non-transitory computer readable storage medium, the machine instructions. A processor executes the instructions to receive an identity of a first product and identities of one or more second products similar to the first product, each of the second products having gone obsolete; receive a determinant of obsolescence of one or more of the obsolete second products; generate one or more observations related to the first product by inputting each received determinant to a trained network; and generate a statistical analysis of the one or more observations to provide an expected value of an actual obsolescence date for the first product.