A method of generating a horizon for use by an ADAS of a vehicle involves using digital location-based data, driver data and/or vehicle data to determine the likelihood that different outgoing paths are taken at a decision point along a currently traversed road segment, and deriving a probability that each path may be taken. The probability may be based on one or more of: an angle of the path relative to the incoming path, the road class of the path, a speed profile of the path, historical paths taken by vehicles at the decision point, and historical paths taken at the decision point by the individual driver or vehicle.