Embodiments of the present invention disclose a method, a computer program product, and a computer system predicting parking availability. A computer identifies parking spaces and groups the parking spacing into parking locations. In addition, the computer distinguishes private parking spaces from public parking spaces, and trains a crowd forecast model for each of the parking locations. The computer further receives a destination and preferences, from which the computer creates a geofence based on the destination and preferences. The computer then predicts parking availability based on the crowd forecast models and refines the crowd forecast model.