Techniques are provided for generating a set of target hybrid seeds with optimal yield and risk performance, including a server receiving a candidate set of hybrid seeds along with probability of successful yield values, associated historical agricultural data and property information, and selecting a subset of the hybrid seeds that have probability of success values greater than a filtering threshold. The server generates representative yield values for hybrid seeds based on the historical agricultural data and risk values for each hybrid seed. The server generates a dataset of target hybrid seeds for planting based on the risk values, the yield values, and the properties for the target fields. The dataset of target hybrid seeds includes target hybrid seeds that meet a specific threshold for a range of risk values. The server causes display of the dataset of target hybrid seeds including yield values and risk values for the target fields.