A computer-implemented method for determining alternative plans for a user may include: determining an event status of an event based on one or more parameters, wherein the event status comprises a target event indicator, wherein the one or more parameters comprise event population; obtaining event data of a target event; obtaining transactional data of the user, wherein the transactional data includes transaction time and transaction location; determining, via one or more processors, a likelihood of a potential transaction of the user associated with the target event by processing the transactional data and the event data using a trained machine learning model; and transmitting, to the user, a notification based on the determined likelihood of the potential transaction, wherein the notification includes a suggestion for alternative travel plans of the user.