Examples are disclosed that relate to methods and systems for classifying the possession or control of a target asset. One example provides a system comprising one or more computing devices having processors and associated memories storing instructions executable by the processors. The instructions are executable to conduct a simulation or observation of an in-field event comprising a plurality of actors controlling a plurality of in-field assets. The system is further configured to monitor telemetry data from each of the in-field assets. In addition, tagging data is received from an in-field asset under the control of a member of the friendly group. A training data set is generated including the telemetry data and the tagging data, and an artificial intelligence model is trained to predict whether a run-time target asset is in the possession or control of the friendly or the unfriendly actor, or lost, based on run-time telemetry data.