Invention Grant
- Patent Title: Forecasting industrial aging processes with machine learning methods
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Application No.: US17779737Application Date: 2020-11-25
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Publication No.: US11860617B2Publication Date: 2024-01-02
- Inventor: Nataliya Yakut , Simeon Sauer , Mihail Bogojeski , Franziska Horn , Klaus-Robert Mueller
- Applicant: BASF SE
- Applicant Address: DE Ludwigshafen am Rhein
- Assignee: Technische Universitaet Berlin
- Current Assignee: Technische Universitaet Berlin
- Current Assignee Address: DE Berlin
- Agency: Lowenstein Sandler LLP
- Priority: EP 211393 2019.11.26
- International Application: PCT/EP2020/083425 2020.11.25
- International Announcement: WO2021/105246A 2021.06.03
- Date entered country: 2022-05-25
- Main IPC: G05B23/02
- IPC: G05B23/02

Abstract:
By accurately predicting industrial aging processes (IAP), such as the slow deactivation of a catalyst in a chemical plant, it is possible to schedule maintenance events further in advance, thereby ensuring a cost-efficient and reliable operation of the plant. So far, these degradation processes were usually described by mechanistic models or simple empirical prediction models. In order to accurately predict IAP, data-driven models are proposed, comparing some traditional stateless models (linear and kernel ridge regression, as well as feed-forward neural networks) to more complex stateful recurrent neural networks (echo state networks and long short-term memory networks). Additionally, variations of the stateful models are discussed. In particular, stateful models using mechanistical pre-knowledge about the degradation dynamics (hybrid models). Stateful models and their variations may be more suitable for generating near perfect predictions when they are trained on a large enough dataset, while hybrid models may be more suitable for generalizing better given smaller datasets with changing conditions.
Public/Granted literature
- US20230028276A1 FORECASTING INDUSTRIAL AGING PROCESSES WITH MACHINE LEARNING METHODS Public/Granted day:2023-01-26
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