An apparatus comprises a processing device that is configured to obtain information about driver installations of a given driver on a plurality of computing devices and to obtain information about system failures from the plurality of computing devices. The processing device is further configured to determine a correlation between the driver installations and the system failures and to determine that the given driver is likely to cause a system failure based at least in part on the determined correlation between the driver installations and the system failures. The processing device is further configured to provide an indication that the given driver is likely to cause a system failure to a given computing device. The indication is configured to cause the given computing device to inhibit a presentation of a recommendation to install the given driver to a user of the given computing device.