Embodiments generate machine learning predictions to discover target device energy usage. One or more trained machine learning models configured to discover target device energy usage from source location energy usage can be stored. Multiple instances of source location energy usage over a period of time can be received for a given source location. Using the trained machine learning model, multiple discovery predictions for the received instances of source location energy usage can be generated, the discovery predictions comprising a prediction about a presence of target device energy usage within the instances of source location energy usage. And based on the multiple discovery predictions, an overall prediction about a presence of target device energy usage within the given source location's energy usage over the period of time can be generated.