A system may include a processing device and a memory device that includes instructions to receive real-time data including wellhead pressure, a new sand measurement, and a new erosion rate for a wellbore. A model including an available reference sand rate for the wellbore based on the wellhead pressure and at least one of the new sand measurement or the new erosion rate of the wellbore may be calibrated. The model may be applied to determine a calibrated sand rate is within a pre-determined threshold. A new sand production rate for the wellbore based on the model may be determined.