Systems and methods for scoring promotions are provided. A set of training offers are received, which include combinations of variable values. These combinations of variable values are converted into a vector value. The offers are paired and the vectors subtracted from one another, resulting in a pair vector. Metrics for the success of offers is collected, and are subtracted from one another for the paired offers to generate a raw score. This raw score is then normalized using the pair vector. The normalized scores are utilized to generate a model for the impact any variable value has on offer success, which may then be applied, using linear regression, to new offers to generate an expected level of success. The new scored offers are ranked and the top-ranked offers are selected for inclusion in a promotional campaign.