Systems and methods are disclosed for determining a probability of an adverse event that will occur in a future. The system may determine a geographical location of a vehicle based on data indicating the geographical location of the vehicle received from the vehicle and sensed by a vehicle sensor of the vehicle; determine an environment of the geographical location of the vehicle; determine vehicle attributes of the vehicle; link the environment of the geographical location of the vehicle and the vehicle attributes; and based on a link between the environment of the geographical location of the vehicle and the vehicle attributes, determine a probability of an adverse event that will occur in a future.