Systems, methods and computer-readable media are provided for monitoring patients and quantitatively predicting whether an event, such as a significant change in health status meriting intervention, is likely to occur within a future time interval subsequent to computing the prediction. Medical data for a patient is collected from one or more different inputs and used to determine time series data. From this, a forecasted numerical value is computed for one or more physiologic parameters associated with the patient, which may be used to further monitor the patient and facilitate decision making about a need for intensified monitoring or intervention to prevent or manage deterioration of hemostasis. An evolutionary algorithm, such as particle swarm optimization and/or differential evolution, may be used to determine the most probable value of the one or more physiologic parameters at one or more future times.