System and method for congestion forecasting in electrical networks
Abstract:
An example method comprises receiving an initial topology of an electrical, receiving a selection of a region of interest, determining one or more external equivalents of the electrical network that are external to the region of interest, determining one or more internal equivalents of the region of interest, calculating a sensitivity matrix based on electrical impedances of at least one of the one or more internal equivalents and based on an amount of power exchanged when in operation, determining a subset of the sensitivity matrix as indicating highly sensitive buses, receiving historical data regarding power flows, predicting power flow for each highly sensitive buses, comparing the predicted power flow to at least one predetermined threshold to determine possible network congestion, and generating a report regarding network congestion and locations of possible network congestion in the region of interest based on the comparison.
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