An integrated circuit system and program product for predicting yield of a VLSI design. An integrated circuit system is provided including a system for identifying and grouping sub-circuits contained within an integrated circuit design by circuit type; a critical area calculation system for determining critical area values for different regions, wherein each different region is associated with a circuit type; a tallying system for calculating a plurality of tallies of critical area values based on circuit type; and a plurality of modeling subsystems for separately modeling each of the plurality of tallies based on circuit type.