Methods and products are disclosed for analyzing network traffic using an improved Markov Modulated Poisson Process Model with one bursty state and a plurality of idle states that include: establishing a time scale of operation for each state in the improved MMPP model; establishing a transition value for each state in dependence upon the time scale of operation for the state; measuring inter-arrival times between individual packets received in one or more network adapters; and determining a current state for the network traffic independence upon the measured inter-arrival time of a most recently received packet and the transition values.