A system and method for managing computer applications running among computing systems based on determined risk of resource saturation is disclosed. In one embodiment, a volatility of resource usage for each computing system is computed based on computed resource usage gains/losses associated with each computing system. A current resource usage of each computing system is then determined. Further, a risk of resource saturation is determined by comparing the computed volatility of resource usage with the determined current resource usage of each computing system. The computer applications running among the computing systems are then managed using the determined risk of resource saturation associated with each computing system.