Invention Grant
- Patent Title: Method for predicting travel times using autoregressive models
- Patent Title (中): 使用自回归模型预测旅行时间的方法
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Application No.: US13677645Application Date: 2012-11-15
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Publication No.: US08762036B2Publication Date: 2014-06-24
- Inventor: Daniel Nikolaev Nikovski
- Applicant: Mitsubishi Electric Research Laboratories, Inc.
- Applicant Address: US MA Cambridge
- Assignee: Mitsubishi Electric Research Laboratories, Inc.
- Current Assignee: Mitsubishi Electric Research Laboratories, Inc.
- Current Assignee Address: US MA Cambridge
- Agent Dirk Brinkman; Gene Vinokur
- Main IPC: G06F19/00
- IPC: G06F19/00 ; G08G1/01 ; G01C21/34 ; G01C21/26

Abstract:
Future travel times along links are predicted using training and prediction phases. During training, seasonal intervals, a seasonal component of the training inflows are learned. The seasonal component is subtracted from the training inflows to obtain training deviations from the training inflows to yield statistics, which along with the seasonal components form a model of traffic flow on the link. During prediction, current travel times on the link are collected for current seasonal intervals to determine current inflows. A most recent travel time is subtracted from a most recent inflow to obtain a current deviation. For a future time, a predicted deviation is estimated using the statistics. The seasonal component is added to the predicted deviation to obtain a predicted inflow from which the future travel time is predicted.
Public/Granted literature
- US20140136088A1 Method for Predicting Travel Times Using Autoregressive Models Public/Granted day:2014-05-15
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