Disclosed in some examples is a method including receiving a plurality of transaction records, each of the transaction records including data about a particular transaction engaged in by a member of a social networking service and including a geographic location and a timestamp of the particular transaction; scoring each of the plurality of transaction records based upon the recency of the transaction; clustering the plurality of transaction records into a plurality of clusters, each cluster including transaction records which contain similar geographic locations; creating an aggregate score for each particular one of the plurality of clusters based upon a sum total of the scores calculated for each transaction record clustered into the particular cluster; and creating a probability distribution based upon the scores for the plurality of clusters, the probability distribution indicating a probability that the member was in each of the plurality of locations represented by the clusters.