Invention Grant
- Patent Title: Time series forecasting ensemble
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Application No.: US14050038Application Date: 2013-10-09
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Publication No.: US09639642B2Publication Date: 2017-05-02
- Inventor: Jorjeta Jetcheva , Mostafa Majidpour
- Applicant: FUJITSU LIMITED
- Applicant Address: JP Kawasaki
- Assignee: FUJITSU LIMITED
- Current Assignee: FUJITSU LIMITED
- Current Assignee Address: JP Kawasaki
- Agency: Maschoff Brennan
- Main IPC: G06G7/54
- IPC: G06G7/54 ; G06F17/50

Abstract:
A method of forecasting a resource load for consumption at a site, e.g., an electrical load of a site. The method includes receiving historical load data and historical ambient condition data that are time series data pertaining to a site and generating additional data from the received data. The method includes building a best sub-model for each of multiple forecast intervals. The building includes clustering in parallel training portions of the historical load data and the additional data, training possible sub-models using the clustered training portions, verifying forecasted loads output from the possible sub-models against verification portions of the historical load data and the additional data, and determining a first subset of parameters for the best sub-model based upon accuracy of the forecasted loads. The method includes forecasting a resource load at the site for each of the forecast intervals using an ensemble of the best sub-models.
Public/Granted literature
- US20150100295A1 TIME SERIES FORECASTING ENSEMBLE Public/Granted day:2015-04-09
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