This invention relates, e.g., to methods for predicting a subject's risk for developing esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) or high-grade dysplasia (HGD), comprising determining in a sample from the subject the methylation levels of transcriptional promoter regions of various combinations of, among other genes, (a) cadherin 13, H-cadherin (heart) (CDH13); (b) tachykinin-1 (TAC1); (c) nel-like 1 (NELL1); (d) A-kinase anchoring protein 12 (AKAP12); (e) somatostatin (SST); (f) transmembrane protein with EGF-like and two follistatin-like domains (HPP1); (g) CDKN2a, cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor 2a (p16); or (h) runt-related transcription factor 3 (RUNX3).