Abstract:
A computing device learns a directed acyclic graph (DAG). An SSCP matrix is computed from variable values defined for observation vectors. A topological order vector is initialized that defines a topological order for the variables. A loss value is computed using the topological order vector and the SSCP matrix. (A) A neighbor determination method is selected. (B) A next topological order vector is determined relative to the initialized topological order vector using the neighbor determination method. (C) A loss value is computed using the next topological order vector and the SSCP matrix. (D) (B) and (C) are repeated until each topological order vector is determined in (B) based on the neighbor determination method. A best topological vector is determined from each next topological order vector based on having a minimum value for the computed loss value. An adjacency matrix is computed using the best topological vector and the SSCP matrix.
Abstract:
Techniques for estimated compound probability distribution are described herein. Embodiments may include receiving a compound model specification comprising a frequency model and a severity model, the compound model specification including a model error comprising a frequency model error and a severity model error, and determining a number of frequency models and severity models to generate based on the received number of models to generate. Embodiments include generating a plurality of frequency models through perturbation of the frequency model according to the frequency model error, and generating a plurality of severity models through perturbation of the severity model according to the severity model error. Further, embodiments include dividing generation of a plurality of compound model samples among a plurality of distributed worker nodes, and receiving the plurality of compound model samples from the distributed worker nodes, and generating aggregate statistics from the plurality of compound model samples.
Abstract:
Various embodiments are generally directed to techniques for producing statistically correct and efficient combinations of multiple simulated posterior samples from MCMC and related Bayesian sampling schemes are described. One or more chains from a Bayesian posterior distribution of values may be generated. It may be determine whether the one or more chains have reached stationarity through parallel processing on a plurality of processing nodes. Based upon the determination, each of the one or more chains that have reached stationarity through parallel processing on the plurality of processing nodes may be sorted. The one or more sorted chains may be resampled through parallel processing on the plurality of processing nodes. The one or more resampled chains may be combined. Other embodiments are described and claimed.
Abstract:
Various embodiments are directed to techniques for selecting a subset of a set of simulated samples. A computer-program product including instructions to cause a computing device to order a plurality of UPDFs by UPDF value, wherein the plurality of UPDFs is associated with a chain of draws of a set of simulated samples, wherein each draw comprises multiple parameters and the UPDF values map to parameter values of the parameters; select a subset of the plurality of UPDFs based on the subset of the plurality of UPDFs having UPDF values within a range corresponding to a range of parameter values to include in a subset of the set of simulated samples; and transmit an indication of a draw comprising parameters having parameter values to include in the subset of the set of simulated samples, wherein the indication identifies the draw by associated UPDF. Other embodiments are described and claimed.
Abstract:
A computer system can automatically analyze a video of a physical activity and provide corresponding feedback. For example, the system can receive a video file including image frames showing an entity performing a physical activity that involves a sequence of movement phases. The system can generate coordinate sets by performing image analysis on the image frames. The system can provide the coordinate sets as input to a trained model, the trained model being configured to assign scores and movement phases to the image frames based on the coordinate sets. The system can then select a particular movement phase for which to provide feedback, based on the scores and movement phases assigned to the image frames. The system can generate the feedback for the entity about their performance of the particular movement phase, which may improve the entity's future performance of that particular movement phase.
Abstract:
A treatment model that is a first neural network is trained to optimize a treatment loss function based on a treatment variable t using a plurality of observation vectors by regressing t on x(1),z. The trained treatment model is executed to compute an estimated treatment variable value {circumflex over (t)}i for each observation vector. An outcome model that is a second neural network is trained to optimize an outcome loss function by regressing y on x(2) and an estimated treatment variable t. The trained outcome model is executed to compute an estimated first unknown function value {circumflex over (α)}(xi(2)) and an estimated second unknown function value {circumflex over (β)}(xi(2)) for each observation vector. An influence function value is computed for a parameter of interest using {circumflex over (α)}(xi(2)) and {circumflex over (β)}(xi(2)). A value is computed for the predefined parameter of interest using the computed influence function value.
Abstract:
A computing device selects a trained spatial regression model. A spatial weights matrix defined for observation vectors is selected, where each element of the spatial weights matrix indicates an amount of influence between respective pairs of observation vectors. Each observation vector is spatially referenced. A spatial regression model is selected from spatial regression models, initialized, and trained using the observation vectors and the spatial weights matrix to fit a response variable using regressor variables. Each observation vector includes a response value for the response variable and a regressor value for each regressor variable of the regressor variables. A fit criterion value is computed for the spatial regression model and the spatial regression model selection, initialization, and training are repeated until each spatial regression model is selected. A best spatial regression model is selected and output as the spatial regression model having an extremum value of the fit criterion value.
Abstract:
Techniques for estimated compound probability distribution are described herein. Embodiments may include receiving a compound model specification comprising a frequency model and a severity model, the compound model specification including a model error comprising a frequency model error and a severity model error, and determining a number of frequency models and severity models to generate based on the received number of models to generate. Embodiments include generating a plurality of frequency models through perturbation of the frequency model according to the frequency model error, and generating a plurality of severity models through perturbation of the severity model according to the severity model error. Further, embodiments include dividing generation of a plurality of compound model samples among a plurality of distributed worker nodes, and receiving the plurality of compound model samples from the distributed worker nodes, and generating aggregate statistics from the plurality of compound model samples.
Abstract:
Techniques for automated Bayesian posterior sampling using Markov Chain Monte Carlo and related schemes are described. In an embodiment, one or more values in an accuracy phase for a system configured for Bayesian sampling may be initialized. Sampling may be performed in the accuracy phase based upon the one or more values to generate a plurality of samples. The plurality of samples may be evaluated based upon one or more accuracy criteria. The accuracy phase may be exited when the plurality of samples meets the one or more accuracy criteria. Other embodiments are described and claimed.
Abstract:
Techniques for estimated compound probability distribution are described. An apparatus comprising a configuration component, perturbation component, sample generation controller, an aggregation component, a distribution fitting component, and statistics generation component. The configuration component operative to receive a compound model specification and candidate distribution definition. The perturbation component operative to generate a plurality of models from the compound model specification. The sample generation controller operative to initiate the generation of a plurality of compound model samples from each of the plurality of models. The distribution fitting component to generate parameter values for the candidate distribution definition based on the compound model samples. The statistics generation component to generate approximated aggregate statistics.