Systems and methods for managing heart failure are described. The system receives physiological information including a first HS signal corresponding to paced ventricular contractions and a second HS signal corresponding to intrinsic ventricular contractions. The system detects worsening heart failure (WHF) using the received physiological information. A signal analyzer circuit can generate a paced HS metric from the first HS signal and a sensed HS metric from the second HS signal, and determine a concordance indicator between the paced and the sensed HS metrics. In response to the detected WHF, the system can use the concordance indicator to generate a therapy adjustment indicator for adjusting electrostimulation therapy, or a worsening cardiac contractility indicator indicating the detected WHF is attributed to degrading myocardial contractility.