公开(公告)号：US10740437B1

公开(公告)日：2020-08-11

申请号：US15663661

申请日：2017-07-28

Applicant: Express Scripts Strategic Development, Inc.

Inventor： Benjamin Shannon ,  Bradley Kelley ,  Karen Dean ,  Michael Looney

IPC: G06Q40/08 ,  G06F19/00 ,  G06Q50/22

Abstract: The present disclosure describes calculating, using a stochastic medical performance model, to predict behavior of a member set for a medical plan. The member set includes virtual members that may be added over the time period of interest to a medical plan. The member set may remove actual members from the member set if it is predicted that they will leave the plan over the time period.

公开(公告)号：US20220415458A1

公开(公告)日：2022-12-29

申请号：US17897696

申请日：2022-08-29

Applicant: Express Scripts Strategic Development, Inc.

Inventor： Benjamin J. Shannon ,  Bradley Kelley ,  Karen P. Dean ,  Michael Looney

IPC: G16H10/60 ,  G06Q50/22 ,  G06Q40/08

Abstract: A system includes a processor and memory providing instructions for execution by the processor. The instructions include, responsive to a request from a user device indicating a group type and a time frame, selecting a set of users based on the group type. The instructions include retrieving the user data and historical data from a database and identifying a set of new users during the time frame. The instructions include adding the set of new users to the set of users and generating synthetic historical data for the set of users. The instructions include, based on the synthetic historical data for each user, computing a likelihood of discontinuation of a drugs and computing a likelihood of initiation of a drug. The instructions include estimating, for the group type, an aggregated output based on the likelihoods of initiation and discontinuation. The instructions include displaying the aggregated output on the user device.

公开(公告)号：US20200372986A1

公开(公告)日：2020-11-26

申请号：US16988915

申请日：2020-08-10

Applicant: Express Scripts Strategic Development, Inc.

Inventor： Benjamin Shannon ,  Bradley Kelley ,  Karen Dean ,  Michael Looney

IPC: G16H10/60 ,  G06Q40/08 ,  G06Q50/22

Abstract: A system includes a processor and memory providing instructions for execution by the processor. The instructions include, responsive to a request from a user device indicating a group type and a time frame, selecting a set of users based on the group type. The instructions include retrieving the user data and historical data from a database and identifying a set of new users during the time frame. The instructions include adding the set of new users to the set of users and generating synthetic historical data for the set of users. The instructions include, based on the synthetic historical data for each user, computing a likelihood of discontinuation of a drugs and computing a likelihood of initiation of a drug. The instructions include estimating, for the group type, an aggregated output based on the likelihoods of initiation and discontinuation. The instructions include displaying the aggregated output on the user device.

公开(公告)号：US11688497B2

公开(公告)日：2023-06-27

申请号：US17897696

申请日：2022-08-29

Applicant: Express Scripts Strategic Development, Inc.

Inventor： Benjamin J. Shannon ,  Bradley Kelley ,  Karen P. Dean ,  Michael Looney

IPC: G16H10/60 ,  G06Q50/22 ,  G06Q40/08

CPC classification number: G16H10/60 ,  G06Q40/08 ,  G06Q50/22

Abstract: A system includes a processor and memory providing instructions for execution by the processor. The instructions include, responsive to a request from a user device indicating a group type and a time frame, selecting a set of users based on the group type. The instructions include retrieving the user data and historical data from a database and identifying a set of new users during the time frame. The instructions include adding the set of new users to the set of users and generating synthetic historical data for the set of users. The instructions include, based on the synthetic historical data for each user, computing a likelihood of discontinuation of a drugs and computing a likelihood of initiation of a drug. The instructions include estimating, for the group type, an aggregated output based on the likelihoods of initiation and discontinuation. The instructions include displaying the aggregated output on the user device.

公开(公告)号：US11430548B2

公开(公告)日：2022-08-30

申请号：US16988915

申请日：2020-08-10

Applicant: Express Scripts Strategic Development, Inc.

Inventor： Benjamin Shannon ,  Bradley Kelley ,  Karen Dean ,  Michael Looney

IPC: G16H10/60 ,  G06Q40/08 ,  G06Q50/22

Abstract: A system includes a processor and memory providing instructions for execution by the processor. The instructions include, responsive to a request from a user device indicating a group type and a time frame, selecting a set of users based on the group type. The instructions include retrieving the user data and historical data from a database and identifying a set of new users during the time frame. The instructions include adding the set of new users to the set of users and generating synthetic historical data for the set of users. The instructions include, based on the synthetic historical data for each user, computing a likelihood of discontinuation of a drugs and computing a likelihood of initiation of a drug. The instructions include estimating, for the group type, an aggregated output based on the likelihoods of initiation and discontinuation. The instructions include displaying the aggregated output on the user device.