RAILWAY TRACK GEOMETRY DEFECT MODELING FOR PREDICTING DETERIORATION, DERAILMENT RISK, AND OPTIMAL REPAIR
    1.
    发明申请
    RAILWAY TRACK GEOMETRY DEFECT MODELING FOR PREDICTING DETERIORATION, DERAILMENT RISK, AND OPTIMAL REPAIR 审中-公开
    铁路轨道几何缺陷建模预测失效风险和最优维修

    公开(公告)号:WO2014110099A3

    公开(公告)日:2014-10-16

    申请号:PCT/US2014010628

    申请日:2014-01-08

    Applicant: IBM

    Abstract: Geo-defect repair modeling is provided. A method includes logically dividing a railroad network according to spatial and temporal dimensions with respect to historical data collected. The spatial dimensions include line segments of a specified length and the temporal dimensions include inspection run data for inspections performed for each of the line segments over a period of time. The method also includes creating a track deterioration model from the historical data, identifying geo-defects occurring at each inspection run from the track deterioration model, calculating a track deterioration condition from the track deterioration model by analyzing quantified changes in the geo-defects measured at each inspection run, and calculating a derailment risk based on track conditions determined from the inspection run data and the track deterioration condition. The method further includes determining a repair decision for each of the geo-defects based on the derailment risk and costs associated with previous comparable repairs.

    Abstract translation: 提供地质缺陷修复建模。 一种方法包括根据关于收集的历史数据的空间和时间维度在逻辑上划分铁路网络。 空间维度包括指定长度的线段,并且时间维度包括用于在一段时间内为每个线段执行的检查的检查运行数据。 该方法还包括从历史数据创建轨迹恶化模型,从轨迹恶化模型识别在每次检查运行中发生的地质缺陷,通过分析在轨迹恶化模型中测量的地质缺陷的量化变化,从轨迹恶化模型计算轨迹恶化条件 每次检查运行,并基于由检查运行数据和轨道恶化条件确定的轨道条件来计算脱轨风险。 该方法进一步包括基于脱轨风险和与先前类似修理相关联的成本确定每个地理缺陷的修理决定。

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