Counterfactual Policy Evaluation of Model Performance

    公开(公告)号:US20240220859A1

    公开(公告)日:2024-07-04

    申请号:US18393349

    申请日:2023-12-21

    Applicant: Maplebear Inc.

    CPC classification number: G06N20/00 G06Q30/01

    Abstract: An online system uses an offline iterative clustering process to evaluate the performance of a set of content selection frameworks. To perform an iteration of the iterative clustering process, an online system clusters the testing example data into a set of clusters. An online system computes a set of framework scores for each of the generated clusters. An online system computes an improvement score for each cluster based on the performance scores of the clusters. To determine whether to perform another iteration, an online system computes an aggregated improvement score based on the improvement scores of the clusters. If an online system determines that the aggregated improvement score does not meet the threshold, an online system performs another iteration of the process above. When an online system finishes the iterative process, an online system outputs the improvement scores of the most-recent iteration.

    PROPENSITY PERTURBATION FOR MODELED TREATMENT SELECTION

    公开(公告)号:US20250068988A1

    公开(公告)日:2025-02-27

    申请号:US18238330

    申请日:2023-08-25

    Applicant: Maplebear Inc.

    Abstract: A computing system automatically selects treatments for users by generating a propensity vector for a set of treatments and selecting a treatment based on the propensity vector. The propensity vector is determined based on one or more computer models that predict user actions responsive to the treatments and the propensity vector is determined based on the value of a treatment parameter. The treatment parameter is perturbed to determine an adjusted propensity vector. Treatments are applied and outcomes determined with the propensities determined by the current value of the treatment parameter, and counterfactuals for the adjusted treatment vector are determined to evaluate the effect of modifying the treatment parameter. When the perturbed treatment parameter value yields improved results in the counterfactual, the current value is modified to improve performance of the model as a whole without requiring retraining of underlying predictive models.

    Heterogeneous Treatment Prediction Model for Generating User Embeddings

    公开(公告)号:US20250045673A1

    公开(公告)日:2025-02-06

    申请号:US18228669

    申请日:2023-07-31

    Applicant: Maplebear Inc.

    Abstract: An embedding model is trained to learn latent representations of users describing information related to conditional treatment effect for users relative to different potential treatments. The user embeddings may be used to determine the types of situations in which a user responds differently to different conditions or situations. To train this model, a plurality of experiments with users may be performed to determine user responses to different treatment conditions in the experiments. The conditional treatment effect for users in the experiments may be determined, e.g., with counterfactual predictions of a treatment not experienced by a user in the experiment. The embedding model may be trained with decoders that each predict the conditional treatment effect with respect to one of the experiments, enabling a loss for each experiment with respect to the conditional treatment effect to jointly train the embedding model.

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