Abstract:
A hierarchical structure (e.g., a hierarchy) for use in hierarchical analysis (e.g., hierarchical forecasting) of timestamped data can be automatically generated. This automated approach to determining a hierarchical structure involves identifying attributes of the timestamped data, clustering the timestamped data to select attributes for the hierarchy, ordering the attributes to achieve a recommended hierarchical order, and optionally modifying the hierarchical order based on user input. Through the approach disclosed herein, a hierarchy can be generated that is designed to perform well under hierarchical models. This recommended hierarchy for use in hierarchical analysis may be agnostic to any planned hierarchy provided by or used by a user to otherwise interpret the timestamped data.
Abstract:
Systems and methods are provided for evaluating performance of forecasting models. A plurality of forecasting models may be generated using a set of in-sample data. Two or more forecasting models from the plurality of forecasting models may be selected for use in generating a combined forecast. An ex-ante combined forecast may be generated for an out-of-sample period using the selected two or more forecasting models. The ex-ante combined forecast may then be compared with a set of actual out-of-sample data to evaluate performance of the combined forecast.
Abstract:
A hierarchical structure (e.g., a hierarchy) for use in hierarchical analysis (e.g., hierarchical forecasting) of timestamped data can be automatically generated. This automated approach to determining a hierarchical structure involves identifying attributes of the timestamped data, clustering the timestamped data to select attributes for the hierarchy, ordering the attributes to achieve a recommended hierarchical order, and optionally modifying the hierarchical order based on user input. Through the approach disclosed herein, a hierarchy can be generated that is designed to perform well under hierarchical models. This recommended hierarchy for use in hierarchical analysis may be agnostic to any planned hierarchy provided by or used by a user to otherwise interpret the timestamped data.