BAYESIAN NEURAL NETWORK POINT ESTIMATOR
    1.
    发明公开

    公开(公告)号:US20240346289A1

    公开(公告)日:2024-10-17

    申请号:US18530798

    申请日:2023-12-06

    CPC classification number: G06N3/045 G06N3/084

    Abstract: A point estimate value for an individual is computed using a Bayesian neural network model (BNN) by training a first BNN model that computes a weight mean value, a weight standard deviation value, a bias mean value, and a bias standard deviation value for each neuron of a plurality of neurons using observations. A plurality of BNN models is instantiated using the first BNN model. Instantiating each BNN model of the plurality of BNN models includes computing, for each neuron, a weight value using the weight mean value, the weight standard deviation value, and a weight random draw and a bias value using the bias mean value, the bias standard deviation value, and a bias random draw. Each instantiated BNN model is executed with the observations to compute a statistical parameter value for each observation vector of the observations. The point estimate value is computed from the statistical parameter value.

    STANDARD ERROR FOR DEEP LEARNING MODEL OUTCOME ESTIMATOR

    公开(公告)号:US20240346284A1

    公开(公告)日:2024-10-17

    申请号:US18529014

    申请日:2023-12-05

    CPC classification number: G06N3/04 G06N3/08

    Abstract: A treatment model trained to compute an estimated treatment variable value for each observation vector of a plurality of observation vectors is executed. Each observation vector includes covariate variable values, a treatment variable value, and an outcome variable value. An outcome model trained to compute an estimated outcome value for each observation vector using the treatment variable value for each observation vector is executed. A standard error value associated with the outcome model is computed using a first variance value computed using the treatment variable value of the plurality of observation vectors, using a second variance value computed using the treatment variable value and the estimated treatment variable value of the plurality of observation vectors, and using a third variance value computed using the estimated outcome value of the plurality of observation vectors. The standard error value is output.

    Bayesian neural network point estimator

    公开(公告)号:US12210954B2

    公开(公告)日:2025-01-28

    申请号:US18530798

    申请日:2023-12-06

    Abstract: A point estimate value for an individual is computed using a Bayesian neural network model (BNN) by training a first BNN model that computes a weight mean value, a weight standard deviation value, a bias mean value, and a bias standard deviation value for each neuron of a plurality of neurons using observations. A plurality of BNN models is instantiated using the first BNN model. Instantiating each BNN model of the plurality of BNN models includes computing, for each neuron, a weight value using the weight mean value, the weight standard deviation value, and a weight random draw and a bias value using the bias mean value, the bias standard deviation value, and a bias random draw. Each instantiated BNN model is executed with the observations to compute a statistical parameter value for each observation vector of the observations. The point estimate value is computed from the statistical parameter value.

    Standard error for deep learning model outcome estimator

    公开(公告)号:US12165031B2

    公开(公告)日:2024-12-10

    申请号:US18529014

    申请日:2023-12-05

    Abstract: A treatment model trained to compute an estimated treatment variable value for each observation vector of a plurality of observation vectors is executed. Each observation vector includes covariate variable values, a treatment variable value, and an outcome variable value. An outcome model trained to compute an estimated outcome value for each observation vector using the treatment variable value for each observation vector is executed. A standard error value associated with the outcome model is computed using a first variance value computed using the treatment variable value of the plurality of observation vectors, using a second variance value computed using the treatment variable value and the estimated treatment variable value of the plurality of observation vectors, and using a third variance value computed using the estimated outcome value of the plurality of observation vectors. The standard error value is output.

    Causal inference and policy optimization system based on deep learning models

    公开(公告)号:US11354566B1

    公开(公告)日:2022-06-07

    申请号:US17507376

    申请日:2021-10-21

    Abstract: A treatment model that is a first neural network is trained to optimize a treatment loss function based on a treatment variable t using a plurality of observation vectors by regressing t on x(1),z. The trained treatment model is executed to compute an estimated treatment variable value {circumflex over (t)}i for each observation vector. An outcome model that is a second neural network is trained to optimize an outcome loss function by regressing y on x(2) and an estimated treatment variable t. The trained outcome model is executed to compute an estimated first unknown function value {circumflex over (α)}(xi(2)) and an estimated second unknown function value {circumflex over (β)}(xi(2)) for each observation vector. An influence function value is computed for a parameter of interest using {circumflex over (α)}(xi(2)) and {circumflex over (β)}(xi(2)). A value is computed for the predefined parameter of interest using the computed influence function value.

    Automatic spatial regression system

    公开(公告)号:US11328225B1

    公开(公告)日:2022-05-10

    申请号:US17524406

    申请日:2021-11-11

    Abstract: A computing device selects a trained spatial regression model. A spatial weights matrix defined for observation vectors is selected, where each element of the spatial weights matrix indicates an amount of influence between respective pairs of observation vectors. Each observation vector is spatially referenced. A spatial regression model is selected from spatial regression models, initialized, and trained using the observation vectors and the spatial weights matrix to fit a response variable using regressor variables. Each observation vector includes a response value for the response variable and a regressor value for each regressor variable of the regressor variables. A fit criterion value is computed for the spatial regression model and the spatial regression model selection, initialization, and training are repeated until each spatial regression model is selected. A best spatial regression model is selected and output as the spatial regression model having an extremum value of the fit criterion value.

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