Abstract:
The present invention relates generally to design and evaluation of research and development, technology transfer, and learning-by-doing, and more particularly to the determination of production plans and the prediction of innovation. A preferred embodiment comprises a method for determining a production plan comprising the steps of: defining a plurality of production recipes such that each of said production recipes is a vector of n operations; selecting a current one of the production recipes; evaluating the current production recipe to determine its cost; modifying the current production recipe to create a trial production recipe (130); evaluating the trial production recipe to determine its cost (140, 150); and assigning the trial production recipe to the current production recipe if the cost of the trial production recipe is less than the cost of the current production recipe.
Abstract:
A method and system for evolving electronic circuits based on defined rules. A first approach uses a network (50) of nodes (60) having established topological and behavioral relationships amongst themselves. A second approach employs software agents to create signal filters. The software agents are allowed to evolve in signal parameter space so as to match a reference signal (200), subject to established evolutionary rules and parameter space constraints. Narrowband and a low-pass filter can be formed using such agents.
Abstract:
Technological change at the film-level has commonly been modeled as random sampling from a fixed distribution of possibilities. Such models, however, typically ignore empirically important aspects of the firm's search process, notably the observation that the present state of the firm guides future innovation. We explicitly treat this aspect of the firm's search for technological improvements by introducing a "technology landscape" (Fig. 6) into an otherwise standard dynamic programming setting where the optimal strategy is to assign a reservation price to each possible technology. Search is modeled as movement, constrained by the cost of innovation, over the technology landscape. Simulations (Fig. 6) are presented on a stylized technology landscape while analytic results are derived using landscapes that are similar to Markov random fields.
Abstract:
The present invention presents a system and method of economic analysis and prediction which dynamically adapts to a changing economic environment by selecting or synthesizing an economic model from a set of economic models based on the selected model's ability to make accurate predictions about an actual economic market. Specifically, the method and system of the present invention forms a space of different economic models (105), forms a behavorial landscape by extracting observables from executions of the economic models (120), and performs model selection and composite model synthesis through optimization (130) over the behavioral landscape.
Abstract:
The present invention relates generally to a method and system for routing control in communication networks and for system control. More particularly, the present invention performs routing by controlling the components in a network with software agents (102) operating in a reward framework using p, tau, and patches (104) to improve communication performance (106). This invention disclosure includes the combination of reinforcement learning agents in a market-based or performance-based reward framework together with optimization techniques called p, tau, and patches (104) as applied to the problem of topology-and load-based routing in data networks, in order to improve communication performance (106) such as communication latency and bandwidth. The invention also applies to the control of other systems, including operations management, job-shop problems, organizational structure, portfolio management, risk management etc.
Abstract:
The present invention relates generally to a system and method for predicting future demand for goods and/or services ( 100). More specifically, the invention provides a system and method for predicting future demand ( 106) for goods and/or services based on information obtained from offering for sale options for the goods and/or services at different levels of product, regional and temporal hierarchies (104).
Abstract:
The present invention is directed to production of a molecule having a predetermined property. In accordance with one embodiment, a library of initial candidate molecules that are at least somewhat dissimilar to a chosen target molecule or "targetshape" is generated. Variants of the initial candidates are generated and screened to identify intermediate candidates from among those variants that are either more or less similar to the targetshape. Data mining techniques such as neural networks are used to extract information about the molecule structures and shapes which lead to the desired activity. Molecular data bases may be screened for candidates matching the preferred shape description or molecules matching the preferred shape description may be synthesized. The process may be iterated by generating variants of the intermediate candidates and screening these variants to identify molecules futher more or less similar to the targetshape.
Abstract:
The present invention presents a comprehensive system and method for operations management which has the reliability and adaptability to handle failures and changes respectively within the economic environment. The present invention presents a framework of features which include technology graphs (110), landscape representations (112) and automated markets to achieve the requisite reliability and adaptability.