公开(公告)号：KR101396960B1

公开(公告)日：2014-05-19

申请号：KR1020130073306

申请日：2013-06-25

Applicant: 한국과학기술정보연구원

Inventor： 김상국 ,  박현우 ,  성태응 ,  이현

IPC: G06F19/00

CPC classification number: G06Q10/04 ,  G06Q30/0201

Abstract: The present invention relates to an apparatus and a method to predict a life cycle of a product based on the product properties. An embodiment of the present invention provides an apparatus to predict the life cycle of a new product. The apparatus comprises: a product property database which stores the product property variable value for each product; a prediction module (1040) which uses the product property variable value as a variable and uses a mixed ensemble model of at least two regression models to predict p (innovation coefficient) and q (imitation coefficient) of a Bass Model, and predicts the life cycle of a new product using the p and the q; and a display unit which displays the predicted life cycle of the new product.

Abstract translation: 本发明涉及基于产品特性来预测产品的生命周期的装置和方法。 本发明的实施例提供了一种用于预测新产品的生命周期的装置。 该装置包括：存储每个产品的产品特性变量值的产品属性数据库; 使用产品特性变量值作为变量的预测模块（1040），并使用至少两个回归模型的混合集合模型来预测低音模型的p（创新系数）和q（仿制系数），并且预测生命 使用p和q的新产品的循环; 以及显示单元，其显示新产品的预测生命周期。