Abstract:
Methods, systems, and apparatus, including computer programs encoded on a computer storage medium, for determining causal models for controlling environments. One of the methods includes obtaining data specifying baseline probability distributions for each of a plurality of controllable elements; maintaining a causal model; repeatedly performing the following: selecting control settings for the environment based on the causal model and values for a particular internal parameter of the control system that are sampled from a range of possible values; selecting control settings for the environment based on the baseline probability distributions; monitoring environment responses to the control settings selected based on the causal model and the control settings selected based on the baseline probability distributions; determining, for each of the possible values, a measure of a difference between a current system performance and a baseline system performance; and updating how frequently each of the possible values is sampled.
Abstract:
Methods, systems, and apparatus, including computer programs encoded on a computer storage medium, for optimizing a process of manufacturing a product. In one aspect, the method comprises repeatedly performing the following: i) selecting a configuration of input settings for manufacturing a product, based on a causal model that measures causal relationships between input settings and a measure of a quality of the product; ii) determining the measure of the quality of the product manufactured using the configuration of input settings; and iii) adjusting, based on the measure of the quality of the product manufactured using the configuration of input settings, the causal model.
Abstract:
Methods, systems, and apparatus, including computer programs encoded on a computer storage medium, for optimizing a process of manufacturing a product. In one aspect, the method comprises repeatedly performing the following: i) selecting a configuration of input settings for manufacturing a product, based on a causal model that measures causal relationships between input settings and a measure of a quality of the product; ii) determining the measure of the quality of the product manufactured using the configuration of input settings; and iii) adjusting, based on the measure of the quality of the product manufactured using the configuration of input settings, the causal model.
Abstract:
Methods, systems, and apparatus, including computer programs encoded on a computer storage medium, for determining causal models for controlling environments. One of the methods includes identifying a procedural instance; selecting control settings for the procedural instance, comprising, for a particular one of the controllable elements: assigning the procedural instance to a cluster for the particular controllable element in accordance with current values of a set of clustering parameters for the particular controllable element; and selecting a setting for the particular controllable element for the procedural instances based on a causal model that is specific to the cluster; obtaining environment responses to the selected control settings that define a value of the performance metric for the procedural instance; and updating, for the particular controllable element, the causal model for the cluster for the controllable element to which the procedural instance was assigned based on the value of the performance metric.
Abstract:
Methods, systems, and apparatus, including computer programs encoded on a computer storage medium, for determining causal models for controlling environments. One of the methods includes repeatedly selecting, by a control system for the environment, control settings for the environment based on internal parameters of the control system, wherein: at least some of the control settings for the environment are selected based on a causal model, and the internal parameters include a first set of internal parameters that define a number of previously received performance metric values that are used to generate the causal model for a particular controllable element; obtaining, for each selected control setting, a performance metric value; determining that generating the causal model for the particular controllable element would result in higher system performance; and adjusting, based on the determining, the first set of internal parameters.
Abstract:
Methods, systems, and apparatus, including computer programs encoded on a computer storage medium, for determining causal models for controlling environments. One of the methods includes repeatedly selecting control settings for the environment based on (i) a causal model that identifies causal relationships between possible settings for controllable elements in the environment and environment responses that reflect a performance of the control system in controlling the environment and (ii) current values of a set of internal parameters; and during the repeatedly selecting: monitoring environment responses to the selected control settings; determining, based on the environment responses, an indication that one or more properties of the environment have changed; and in response, modifying the current values of one or more of the internal parameters.
Abstract:
Methods, systems, and apparatus, including computer programs encoded on a computer storage medium, for determining causal models for controlling environments. One of the methods includes obtaining data specifying baseline probability distributions for each of a plurality of controllable elements; maintaining a causal model; repeatedly performing the following: selecting control settings for the environment based on the causal model and values for a particular internal parameter of the control system that are sampled from a range of possible values; selecting control settings for the environment based on the baseline probability distributions; monitoring environment responses to the control settings selected based on the causal model and the control settings selected based on the baseline probability distributions; determining, for each of the possible values, a measure of a difference between a current system performance and a baseline system performance; and updating how frequently each of the possible values is sampled.
Abstract:
Systems and methods for organizing and controlling the display of content, then measuring the effectiveness of that content in modifying behavior, within a particular temporal and special dimension, so as to minimize or eliminate confounding effects.
Abstract:
At least some aspects of the present disclosure feature systems and methods for delivering content to a mobile device. In one embodiment, the system receives location information of the mobile device and determines a response duration. The system selects a content piece to deliver to the mobile device based on information regarding content comparisons or experimental units.
Abstract:
A content optimization system includes a content generation module, a content evaluation module, and a rule management module. The content generation module is adapted to generate a content configuration, wherein the content configuration comprises a plurality of content elements and one or more relationships among the plurality of content elements, wherein the one or more relationships are in accordance with a set of rules on content generation. The content evaluation module is adapted to evaluate content performance of a piece of content assembled from the content configuration. The rule management module is adapted to amend the set of rules based on the evaluated content performance.