Abstract:
The disclosed computerized system and method facilitates predicting the onset of diabetes or symptom progression in those patients already suffering from the disease. The computerized system and method applies steps to segment the population by predefined member characteristics. Once segmented, the computerized system and method applies a plurality of prediction models to the segmented population data to provide a ranking of members of the population that indicates the likelihood of onset or progression of diabetes for each member.
Abstract:
A computerized back surgery predictive model identifies a risk population for back surgery and assigns a severity level to members of the risk population. High risk members are informed of preference-sensitive surgeries and alternative treatment options. The model focuses on members of the population with back condition related claims and is trained using data for members with primary diagnoses associated with various types of visits, procedures, and treatments for back pain. In an example embodiment, the model is applied to member populations to predict a first back surgery (e.g., spinal fusion, kyphosplasty, vertebroplasty, or decompression surgery) within one year after identified triggers. Predictors are historical risk factors from a broad set of data sources. Members are scored monthly to allow for continuous monitoring of the changing risk of back surgery and to allow timely intervention. The model may be tailored for different populations such as commercial and Medicare populations.
Abstract:
A computerized system and method for automatically estimating the likelihood of having a fall leading to a fracture/dislocation within a specified period is described, and comprises a predictive model for guiding patients to the right course of treatment and encouraging discussions with their doctors for better outcomes. The system and method extracts member's health information from health administrative claims data, including clinical and pharmacy data, and estimates the probability of a fall for that member. Patients with high risk scores are selected for various clinical programs and interventions to manage their health conditions and reduce their likelihood of falling.
Abstract:
A computerized health severity score predictive model for assigning a health severity score to a member of a health insurance member population is disclosed. The computerized system and method comprises a predictive model for scoring members. The predictive model is developed based on health insurance claim data. Member claim data may comprise eligibility, demographics, medical claims, pharmacy claims, pharmacy benefit management, laboratory test results, and disease management data. A utilization transition pattern is identified from a comparison of costs observed during a first year and a subsequent year. Members are segmented into groups according to predetermined segmenting rules derived from a segmentation model that applies the utilization transition pattern. The health severity score is thus based on demographic and clinical data as well as utilization transition pattern (or cost transition) data.
Abstract:
The present invention is a method of predicting the likelihood that chronic kidney disease will result in end stage renal disease requiring dialysis. The method uses various indicators comprising information specific to an individual as well as information representing characteristics of a population including demographic information, health care and prescription insurance claims, and involvement in various programs designed to improve the health of a user. The method applies a predictive algorithm to these indicators in order to derive a risk score indicating an individual's risk of dialysis.
Abstract:
Systems and methods for automated interventions to persons identified as being of risk of falling are provided. A subset of members is identified which are associated with at least one of a plurality of falls predictors. At least one falls prediction algorithm is applied to a subset of said medical claims data associated with the subset of members to generate a falls risk score for each of member of the subset. At least one intervention is assigned to each of member of the subset having an assigned risk score above any of several predetermined risk score thresholds which are automatically and electronically initiated based, at least in part, on member data.
Abstract:
A computerized system and method for automatically estimating the likelihood of having a fall leading to a fracture/dislocation within a specified period is described, and comprises a predictive model for guiding patients to the right course of treatment and encouraging discussions with their doctors for better outcomes. The system and method extracts member's health information from health administrative claims data, including clinical and pharmacy data, and estimates the probability of a fall for that member. Patients with high risk scores are selected for various clinical programs and interventions to manage their health conditions and reduce their likelihood of falling.
Abstract:
A computerized system and method for automatically estimating the likelihood of having a fall leading to a fracture/dislocation within a specified period is described, and comprises a predictive model for guiding patients to the right course of treatment and encouraging discussions with their doctors for better outcomes. The system and method extracts member's health information from health administrative claims data, including clinical and pharmacy data, and estimates the probability of a fall for that member. Patients with high risk scores are selected for various clinical programs and interventions to manage their health conditions and reduce their likelihood of falling.
Abstract:
The disclosed computerized system and method facilitates predicting the onset of diabetes or symptom progression in those patients already suffering from the disease. The computerized system and method applies steps to segment the population by predefined member characteristics. Once segmented, the computerized system and method applies a plurality of prediction models to the segmented population data to provide a ranking of members of the population that indicates the likelihood of onset or progression of diabetes for each member.